The question as to how big scientology really is comes up often.
The organization does not make its membership figures known though they have a good count with the total number of IAS members. Of course even that is inflated as it is notoriously difficult to get OFF a scientology mailing list and as long as they can still send you junk mail you “count” on their statistic.
Over the years, spokespeople have variously claimed 4, 6, 8 or 10 million “members” but then refuse to define what a “member” is though a few times they have stated it is “anyone who had bought a book or taken a service EVER.”
Lately they have been less inclined to put a number and just say “there are millions of scientologists” or even more passive “millions of scientologists are happy with the leadership of David Miscavige.”
Attendance at their international events is a good gauge of really active scientologists as non-attendance to bow before Dear Leader is tantamount to a crime against humanity at this point. That has NEVER been more than 40,000 and it’s been declining since the 90’s – perhaps by half.
But occasionally they put out something in their own words that inadvertently gives some more accurate insight into the shrinking world inside the bubble of scientology.
You just have to know how to read and understand it.
Here is the latest from “Ron’s Home” – the First Advanced Org.
This promotional item proudly announces the accomplishments of AOSHUK, which, according to their announcement, is the best Advanced Org on earth. They are the “champions,” meaning they have expanded faster over the last year than any other Advanced Org on earth.
There are only 3 others — Los Angeles, Sydney and Copenhagen. The fourth, in Joburg, just opened so it was not in this competition — it will eat into the market share of the other 3 AO’s. So it represents more than 25% of the worldwide total for scientology.
So, let’s analyze these numbers, starting with “Since February.” No doubt they are counting the months of February and March, but it could mean “in the last month.” So, let’s split the difference and call this 6 weeks.
29 SRD completions
79 Auditors made
22 new Clears
125 OT completions
31 new OT V’s.
We can pretty much ignore the SRD — this is a low level service that has nothing to do with an “Advanced Org” other than they are forcing people to do it because they don’t have any other service to put them on.
79 auditors made sounds somewhat impressive — until you know what this stat means. It counts one for ANY COURSE COMPLETED in the Academy. So, to make a Class V auditor (which is a Class V org level auditor) there are numerous courses that count on the way: Pro TRs, Metering, Dianetics Book Auditor, Level 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5). So you can basically divide that number by 10 to get the number of actual auditors made. And because they do not say “17 Class V auditors made” you can bet the number of Class V’s is actually 0.
22 New Clears. 4 per week (most orgs in the UK are forbidden to make clears as they do not have the requisite technical staff). Let’s just limit this to the UK and estimate (VERY generously) that this represents HALF the Clears made in the UK at any given period (I would guess it is likely 90% given the moribund state of the orgs in the UK). But less than 10 total Clears a week means they are going BACKWARDS on “Clearing the UK” as the population is growing 1,000 wogs to 1 for each Clear they are making. The UK is getting LESS CLEAR. “We are wogging the UK” just doesn’t have the same ring to it.
125 OT Completions — another misleading stat. Each level counts. Solo Course Part 2. OT 1 theory. OT 1 practical. OT II theory. OT II etc. When you consider this is more than 25% of the total OT’s made in Advanced Orgs on planet earth (some are made at Flag too) it tells you a LOT about how big scientology really isn’t. And this is a reflection f how many people are arriving from lover level orgs to move through the OT levels. A quarter of the orgs is about 40. 125 in 6 weeks is 20 per week. That is generously about 4 new starts on OT levels from lower level orgs. Or one every 10 weeks from each org. Tells you how dead the orgs really are.
And the final number is the most telling of all.
31 new OT V’s (NOT’s). This is how many people are ready to now go to Flag to do Solo NOTs. 5 per week. Let’s be generous and say the other 3 AO’s also do 5 per week (possibly at AOLA, not a chance in AOSHANZO or EU) — 20 people a week READY to go to Flag. If even half of them go, Flag is empty. 10 arrivals per week is nothing for a facility with 500 hotel rooms!
And their target of 10,000 will NEVER be met unless they continue to count the dead people on their total… the old are dying off and the vast majority of those at the “top of the bridge” ARE old. It is generous to even believe that half of them will go to Flag. Most of them are financially exhausted once they complete NOTs and it requires some hard work and saving to afford to go to Flag and spend 6 weeks trying to get through the OT VI course.
There is no doubt, scientology is dying on the vine.
Remember, this is THE BEST Advanced Org and they are PROUD of these numbers.
These people, and scientologists in general, cannot confront how many people there are in the UK, let alone the world.
They say they are “changing the world” and “bringing sanity to this sector of universe” and “clearing the planet” but in truth they are not even a discernible presence in the world. And they are further away from these goals today than they were 50 years ago.
Unfortunately, this does not mean they cannot harm those who are unfortunate enough to come in contact with them. Which is why it is 8mportant to continue exposing their abuses.